Sunday, June 21, 2009

Barack Obama's Approval Index Reaches New Historic Level

For the first time in history, Barack Obama's presidential approval index fell into negative territory. The Rasmussen Obama Approval Index for June 21, 2009 has 32% strongly approve and 34% strongly disapprove which equates to an approval index of negative 2.

Obama's negative presidential approval index is still quite impressive when compared to the dismal final days of the Bush Administration. However, the amazing thing about Obama's new presidential approval index is that less than five months ago on January 22, a whopping 44% strongly approved of Obama and only14% strongly disapproved of Obama giving him an approval index of plus 30. Wow! The strongly approve to strongly disapprove ratio went from more than three to less than one in under five months!

Of course Rasmussen numbers should be taken with a grain of salt because they are generally not as favorable to Obama as many of the other polls out there like Gallup or CBS News/NY Times. Regardless, the majority of polls agree there is a strong trend of less people approving and more people disapproving. 

Rasmussen still has Obama with a positive overall presidential approval rating with 53% approve and 46% disapprove, but I have a hunch this number won't last because extrapolating the data suggest the downward slide to continue. The question isn't really IF the approval rating goes negative but rather WHEN. My best guess is for Obama to have negative approval some time during the third quarter of 2009.

Please share your comments here on Reddit, or here on PoliticalWatercooler.com or twitter me  @oscarcan.